no code implementations • 11 May 2023 • Alessandro Giovannelli, Marco Lippi, Tommaso Proietti
The paper deals with the construction of a synthetic indicator of economic growth, obtained by projecting a quarterly measure of aggregate economic activity, namely gross domestic product (GDP), into the space spanned by a finite number of smooth principal components, representative of the medium-to-long-run component of economic growth of a high-dimensional time series, available at the monthly frequency.
no code implementations • 20 May 2022 • Luca Mattia Rolla, Alessandro Giovannelli
This paper analyses the forecasting performance of a new class of factor models with martingale difference errors (FMMDE) recently introduced by Lee and Shao (2018).