no code implementations • 7 Feb 2023 • Joshua C. C. Chan, Aubrey Poon, Dan Zhu
A key insight underlying the proposed approach is that the joint distribution of the missing data conditional on the observed data is Gaussian.
no code implementations • 28 Aug 2022 • Joshua C. C. Chan
Large Bayesian vector autoregressions with various forms of stochastic volatility have become increasingly popular in empirical macroeconomics.
no code implementations • 16 Jun 2022 • Joshua C. C. Chan, Xuewen Yu
We propose a new variational approximation of the joint posterior distribution of the log-volatility in the context of large Bayesian VARs.
no code implementations • 18 Jan 2022 • Joshua C. C. Chan
We develop an efficient Bayesian sparsification method for a class of models we call hybrid TVP-VARs--VARs with time-varying parameters in some equations but constant coefficients in others.
no code implementations • 21 Dec 2021 • Joshua C. C. Chan, Aubrey Poon, Dan Zhu
Results from these two empirical applications highlight the importance of incorporating high-frequency indicators in macroeconomic models.
no code implementations • 14 Nov 2021 • Joshua C. C. Chan, Gary Koop, Xuewen Yu
Many popular specifications for Vector Autoregressions (VARs) with multivariate stochastic volatility are not invariant to the way the variables are ordered due to the use of a Cholesky decomposition for the error covariance matrix.
no code implementations • 13 Nov 2021 • Joshua C. C. Chan
One popular shrinkage prior in this setting is the natural conjugate prior as it facilitates posterior simulation and leads to a range of useful analytical results.
no code implementations • 23 Oct 2021 • Abhishek K. Umrawal, Joshua C. C. Chan
We propose a new \textit{quadratic programming-based} method of approximating a nonstandard density using a multivariate Gaussian density.