Search Results for author: Michael Pfarrhofer

Found 11 papers, 2 papers with code

Nowcasting economic activity in European regions using a mixed-frequency dynamic factor model

no code implementations18 Jan 2024 Luca Barbaglia, Lorenzo Frattarolo, Niko Hauzenberger, Dominik Hirschbuehl, Florian Huber, Luca Onorante, Michael Pfarrhofer, Luca Tiozzo Pezzoli

Timely information about the state of regional economies can be essential for planning, implementing and evaluating locally targeted economic policies.

Forecasting euro area inflation using a huge panel of survey expectations

no code implementations25 Jul 2022 Florian Huber, Luca Onorante, Michael Pfarrhofer

In this paper, we forecast euro area inflation and its main components using an econometric model which exploits a massive number of time series on survey expectations for the European Commission's Business and Consumer Survey.

Time Series Time Series Analysis

Measuring Shocks to Central Bank Independence using Legal Rulings

no code implementations25 Feb 2022 Stefan Griller, Florian Huber, Michael Pfarrhofer

We investigate the consequences of legal rulings on the conduct of monetary policy.

Modeling tail risks of inflation using unobserved component quantile regressions

1 code implementation5 Mar 2021 Michael Pfarrhofer

This paper proposes methods for Bayesian inference in time-varying parameter (TVP) quantile regression (QR) models featuring conditional heteroskedasticity.

Bayesian Inference Data Augmentation

General Bayesian time-varying parameter VARs for predicting government bond yields

no code implementations26 Feb 2021 Manfred M. Fischer, Niko Hauzenberger, Florian Huber, Michael Pfarrhofer

Time-varying parameter (TVP) regressions commonly assume that time-variation in the coefficients is determined by a simple stochastic process such as a random walk.

Model Selection

Sparse time-varying parameter VECMs with an application to modeling electricity prices

no code implementations9 Nov 2020 Niko Hauzenberger, Michael Pfarrhofer, Luca Rossini

In this paper we propose a time-varying parameter (TVP) vector error correction model (VECM) with heteroskedastic disturbances.

Nowcasting in a Pandemic using Non-Parametric Mixed Frequency VARs

1 code implementation28 Aug 2020 Florian Huber, Gary Koop, Luca Onorante, Michael Pfarrhofer, Josef Schreiner

This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees.

regression

A Bayesian panel VAR model to analyze the impact of climate change on high-income economies

no code implementations4 Apr 2018 Florian Huber, Tamás Krisztin, Michael Pfarrhofer

In this paper, we assess the impact of climate shocks on futures markets for agricultural commodities and a set of macroeconomic quantities for multiple high-income economies.

Cannot find the paper you are looking for? You can Submit a new open access paper.