no code implementations • 9 Dec 2023 • Yuan Liao, Xinjie Ma, Andreas Neuhierl, Zhentao Shi
This paper addresses a key question in economic forecasting: does pure noise truly lack predictive power?
1 code implementation • 27 Feb 2023 • Ziwei Mei, Liugang Sheng, Zhentao Shi
Local Projection is widely used for impulse response estimation, with the Fixed Effect (FE) estimator being the default for panel data.
no code implementations • 14 Dec 2022 • Ziwei Mei, Zhentao Shi
This paper examines LASSO, a widely-used $L_{1}$-penalized regression method, in high dimensional linear predictive regressions, particularly when the number of potential predictors exceeds the sample size and numerous unit root regressors are present.
no code implementations • 20 Sep 2022 • Ziwei Mei, Peter C. B. Phillips, Zhentao Shi
The global financial crisis and Covid recession have renewed discussion concerning trend-cycle discovery in macroeconomic data, and boosting has recently upgraded the popular HP filter to a modern machine learning device suited to data-rich and rapid computational environments.
no code implementations • 7 Aug 2021 • Jinyuan Chang, Zhentao Shi, Jia Zhang
Models defined by moment conditions are at the center of structural econometric estimation, but economic theory is mostly agnostic about moment selection.
1 code implementation • 19 Oct 2020 • Zhentao Shi, Liangjun Su, Tian Xie
This paper tackles forecast combination with many forecasts or minimum variance portfolio selection with many assets.
1 code implementation • 16 Aug 2019 • Zhentao Shi, Jingyi Huang
Policy evaluation is central to economic data analysis, but economists mostly work with observational data in view of limited opportunities to carry out controlled experiments.
2 code implementations • 1 May 2019 • Peter C. B. Phillips, Zhentao Shi
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is one of the most widely used econometric methods in applied macroeconomic research.
no code implementations • 7 Oct 2018 • Ji Hyung Lee, Zhentao Shi, Zhan Gao
This new finding motivates a novel post-selection adaptive LASSO, which we call the twin adaptive LASSO (TAlasso), to restore variable selection consistency.
3 code implementations • 27 Jun 2018 • Zhan Gao, Zhentao Shi
Economists specify high-dimensional models to address heterogeneity in empirical studies with complex big data.
Computation Econometrics
1 code implementation • 11 Feb 2018 • Zhentao Shi, Huanhuan Zheng
We develop a behavioral asset pricing model in which agents trade in a market with information friction.
Trading and Market Microstructure Econometrics